Pluribus AI 2024 Election Autopsy

Soft on the Border, Soft on Crime

Commentators from the Far Left to the Far Right say Democrats let their opponents own crime and immigration, and that voters resented being told the problems weren't real.


73 quotes
29 voices
41 videos
0.5 hrs airtime
7.78M views

The Verdict

Crime and immigration draw criticism from almost every part of the spectrum. The study tagged 73 quotes to this theme, from 29 voices across 41 videos. Among quotes with a known political leaning, 32% came from Far Right voices, 29% from the Far Left and 23% from the Center. Only Right voices, with a single quote, sat this one out.

The Young Turks contributed more quotes than any other channel. BlazeTV, Fox News and the NJ Libertarian Party carry the Far Right’s share, while Duke University’s Department of Political Science and The Hill lead the Center. These voices want different policies. What they share is the view that Democrats had no convincing answer on the border or on crime, and that voters noticed.

Policy and tone

Immigration and border management make up the largest part of the theme. The second-largest part is about tone. Commentators say voters resented hearing that the border wasn’t a crisis or that crime was down when their own experience told them otherwise. On Pod Save America, one host said people in big cities “are furious” at being told that crime is down, and urged the party to “talk to some people who live near you.” The Hill called the border “the biggest unforced error of the Biden administration by far.” Crime on its own is a smaller part of the theme.

That focus on tone explains why the theme reaches so far left. Far Left voices such as The Young Turks, David Pakman and The Real News Network mostly argue that the party brushed off voters’ concerns, not that its policies were too lenient. Center voices, including Duke and the UChicago Institute of Politics, describe a party without a clear border policy. Far Right voices make the familiar “open borders” charge.

Even friendly outlets described the political damage. In post-election coverage, an MSNBC anchor explained that voters thought Donald Trump was “talking sense on immigration,” and acknowledged that the government had “failed to deal with the border until very recently.”

I think the biggest unforced error of the Biden administration by far was the border. To tell people it's not a problem is insulting. For the working class to see incoming migrants getting welcome bags, debit cards, and motel rooms is probably insulting as well. So there's a lot of work to do.
The HillCenter2.1M reach

What commentators point to

Commentators across the spectrum, most often Fox News, BlazeTV and the NJ Libertarian Party, say the Biden administration lost control of the border. Center voices at Duke call it one of its biggest errors.
Left-leaning voices such as The Young Turks and David Pakman say Democrats told voters their worries about safety and the border were wrong or racist, and voters took offense.
The Young Turks blame progressive officials for disorder in Democratic-run cities, and Robert Reich and BlazeTV say the 'defund the police' slogan left the party labeled soft on crime.
This is a smaller theme. It ranks thirteenth by quotes, and no political leaning ranks it higher than tenth.

Sub-Themes

4 sub-themes inside Soft on the Border, Soft on Crime

01

Immigration Policy & Border Management Failure

Commentators across the spectrum, with the most from right-leaning outlets like Fox News and BlazeTV, say the Biden administration lost control of the border. They point to reversed policies, outdated asylum law and migrants straining services in Democratic-run cities. Center voices at Duke and The Hill call it one of the administration's biggest errors.

high20 sources·32 quotes
02

Defensive Messaging & Voter Dismissal

Commentators say Democrats played defense on crime and immigration and let Republicans set the terms. Left-leaning voices such as The Young Turks and David Pakman add that the party told voters their worries about safety and the border were wrong or racist, and voters took offense.

high16 sources·26 quotes
03

Crime Policy & 'Soft on Crime' Perception

Most of these quotes come from The Young Turks, who blame progressive officials for disorder in Democratic-run cities and for criminal justice changes they call reckless. Others, including Robert Reich and BlazeTV, say the 'defund the police' slogan left the party labeled soft on crime.

medium5 sources·11 quotes
04

Broader Strategic and Policy Missteps

A loose group of critiques that sit outside crime and immigration. A libertarian channel attacks Democratic gun laws, Fox News says the party ignored faith-based voters until after the election, and a far-left channel faults both parties for spending that favors the wealthy.

low3 sources·4 quotes

Adjacent Themes

The whole theme network, on an editorial 2×2

Every top-level theme placed on two editor-curated axes: INTERNAL ↔ EXTERNAL (could the party fix this itself, or is it structural?) and TACTICAL ↔ STRATEGIC (fixable in one election cycle, or a decade-long rethink?). Lines connect themes that share quotes. Thicker lines mean more shared quotes.

← INTERNALEXTERNAL →↑ STRATEGIC↓ TACTICALFlawed Strategy & Tactical IncompetenceFlawed Strategy & Tactical IncompetenceNeglected Coalition & Demographic CollapseNeglected Coalition & Demographic CollapseIneffective Economic & Policy MessagingIneffective Economic & Policy MessagingElitist Culture & 'Woke' AlienationElitist Culture & 'Woke' AlienationFlawed Candidacy & Leadership VacuumFlawed Candidacy & Leadership VacuumInternal Party Dysfunction & Organizational DecayInternal Party Dysfunction & Organizational DecayHypocrisy & Corrupt Intent AllegationsHypocrisy & Corrupt Intent AllegationsFlawed Economics & Corporate ServitudeFlawed Economics & Corporate ServitudeForeign Policy & Security FailuresForeign Policy & Security FailuresProcess-Driven Governmental FailureProcess-Driven Governmental FailureFlawed Policy Design & Unpopular AgendaFlawed Policy Design & Unpopular AgendaMedia Ecosystem FailureMedia Ecosystem FailureCeding Ground on Crime & ImmigrationFlawed Economic Paradigm & MMT CritiqueFlawed Economic Paradigm & MMT CritiqueFlawed Fundraising & Resource MismanagementFlawed Fundraising & Resource MismanagementAllegations of Gross Incompetence & FraudAllegations of Gross Incompetence & FraudStructural & Systemic DisadvantagesStructural & Systemic DisadvantagesFlawed Digital & Media StrategyFlawed Digital & Media StrategyVoter Registration & Turnout DeficitVoter Registration & Turnout DeficitSocietal Headwinds & BigotrySocietal Headwinds & BigotryVoter Suppression & Election Integrity FailuresVoter Suppression & Election Integrity FailuresFailure to Challenge Capitalism's CoreFailure to Challenge Capitalism's CoreLeft-Wing Voter Self-SabotageLeft-Wing Voter Self-SabotageCeding Ground on Armed LegitimacyCeding Ground on Armed LegitimacyCeding Ground on Crime & Immigration

Who Drove It

Spread across the spectrum

Left-of-center voices lead. 42% of quotes come from the Far Left and Left, against 34% from the Right and Far Right.

28.8%
13.7%
23.3%
2.7%
31.5%
Far LeftLeftCenterRightFar Right

Top channels by reach

  1. Fox News Far Right
    3.10M views
  2. BlazeTV Far Right
    878K views
  3. Robert Reich Center
    769K views
  4. Pod Save America Left
    688K views
  5. MSNBC Left
    348K views

Scale

The theme, in numbers

Quotes
73
Channels
29
Videos
41
Total views
7.78M
Likes
175K
Comments
54K
Hours of content
0.5h

When the conversation happened

Quotes tagged to this theme, grouped by the date the video was published and colored by the political leaning of the source. Spikes mark the days commentators talked about it most.

Quotes

Quotes, by political leaning

28.8%
13.7%
23.3%
2.7%
31.5%

Engagement, by political leaning

Far Left: 1,463,477Left: 1,081,703Center: 733,394Right: 107,550Far Right: 4,395,2907.78M
Views
Far Left: 56,739Left: 26,666Center: 15,930Right: 2,049Far Right: 73,440175K
Likes
Far Left: 22,922Left: 13,127Center: 5,617Right: 523Far Right: 11,36454K
Comments

Airtime, by political leaning

0.1h 26.4% Far Left
0.1h 14.2% Left
0.1h 28.5% Center
0.0h 1.4% Right
0.2h 29.6% Far Right

0.5 hrs total · 41 videos

The videos that carried it

The most-watched videos tagged to this theme, ranked by views. Engagement counts come from YouTube.

  1. RESULTS ARE IN: Trump is popular to Democrats' horror
    Fox News
    Views
    2,341,652
    Likes
    20,857
    Comments
    4,200
  2. Why Trump Won | Robert Reich
    Robert Reich
    Views
    768,927
    Likes
    34,828
    Comments
    10,000
  3. RESULTS ARE IN: Voters grade Trump’s first 100 days
    Fox News
    Views
    758,091
    Likes
    14,938
    Comments
    5,200
  4. Hasan Piker on Where Democrats Went Wrong in the 2024 Election
    Pod Save America
    Views
    688,204
    Likes
    21,846
    Comments
    10,000

Where the gap lives, all five metrics

Each row is a metric. The two dots show the share from Far Left and Left voices and the share from Right and Far Right voices, and the line between them is the gap. Close dots mean both sides engaged with the theme about equally. A wide gap means one side carried it.

0%25%50%75%100%Quotes: Left coalition 55.4% · Right coalition 44.6% · gap Δ10.7%QuotesΔ10.7%Views: Left coalition 36.1% · Right coalition 63.9% · gap Δ27.8%ViewsΔ27.8%Likes: Left coalition 52.5% · Right coalition 47.5% · gap Δ5.0%LikesΔ5.0%Comments: Left coalition 75.2% · Right coalition 24.8% · gap Δ50.4%CommentsΔ50.4%Airtime: Left coalition 56.7% · Right coalition 43.3% · gap Δ13.4%AirtimeΔ13.4%LEFT COALITIONRIGHT COALITION