Pluribus AI 2024 Election Autopsy

The Wrong Channels

A handful of voices say Democrats kept spending on broadcast TV and mail while voters moved to streaming and online video.


9 quotes
5 voices
5 videos
0.1 hrs airtime
276K views

The Verdict

This is a small theme: nine quotes from five voices. Five come from a Democrats of Greater Tucson postmortem, most of them from a speaker who works on digital ads at the firm Uplift. The rest come from The Wall Street Journal, Washington Week, Donna Brazile speaking at American University’s School of Communication, and Australia’s Scanlon Foundation. Five quotes come from the Left, two from the Center and one from the Right.

The Tucson speaker’s advice is concrete. Congressional and statewide candidates should move money into streaming TV because “people are cutting their cords.” One-to-one digital targeting misses too many voters, so campaigns should cast a wider net online. YouTube reaches Hispanic and Latino audiences better than broadcast or connected TV. And “nothing beats organic content,” because “people know what an ad looks like.”

The national outlets make the spending case. The Wall Street Journal and Washington Week both say Democrats put too much into television ads, which have diminishing returns, and too little into direct voter contact such as door-to-door canvassing.

Two voices focus on trust. Donna Brazile says national news and social media have lost the public’s trust and that coverage sticks to the horse race over substance. The Scanlon Foundation, discussing Australia, argues that messages land through trusted voices in people’s communities more than through institutions.

A fixable problem

No one in the study treats ad mix as a culture-war issue, and the theme draws no Far Left or Far Right voices. The fixes are operational: move budget from broadcast and mail to streaming and online video, broaden targeting, and invest in organic content and in-person contact. A party could make these changes within a single cycle.

My work at Uplift really revolves around digital ads. What we found is that if you are a congressional candidate, statewide candidate, investing more in digital TV is the way to go. People are cutting their cords. That's not to say ignore mail and broadcast TV, but thinking about other ways of reaching voters is key.
Democrats of Greater TucsonLeft

What commentators point to

Democrats of Greater Tucson, the main source, says campaigns spend too much on broadcast TV and mail and too little on digital and streaming ads.
It also says hyper-targeted digital ads are losing their power and that organic social media content reaches voters better than paid ads.
The Wall Street Journal and Washington Week PBS say TV advertising has diminishing returns compared with direct voter contact.

Adjacent Themes

The whole theme network, on an editorial 2×2

Every top-level theme placed on two editor-curated axes: INTERNAL ↔ EXTERNAL (could the party fix this itself, or is it structural?) and TACTICAL ↔ STRATEGIC (fixable in one election cycle, or a decade-long rethink?). Lines connect themes that share quotes. Thicker lines mean more shared quotes.

← INTERNALEXTERNAL →↑ STRATEGIC↓ TACTICALFlawed Strategy & Tactical IncompetenceFlawed Strategy & Tactical IncompetenceNeglected Coalition & Demographic CollapseNeglected Coalition & Demographic CollapseIneffective Economic & Policy MessagingIneffective Economic & Policy MessagingElitist Culture & 'Woke' AlienationElitist Culture & 'Woke' AlienationFlawed Candidacy & Leadership VacuumFlawed Candidacy & Leadership VacuumInternal Party Dysfunction & Organizational DecayInternal Party Dysfunction & Organizational DecayHypocrisy & Corrupt Intent AllegationsHypocrisy & Corrupt Intent AllegationsFlawed Economics & Corporate ServitudeFlawed Economics & Corporate ServitudeForeign Policy & Security FailuresForeign Policy & Security FailuresProcess-Driven Governmental FailureProcess-Driven Governmental FailureFlawed Policy Design & Unpopular AgendaFlawed Policy Design & Unpopular AgendaMedia Ecosystem FailureMedia Ecosystem FailureCeding Ground on Crime & ImmigrationCeding Ground on Crime & ImmigrationFlawed Economic Paradigm & MMT CritiqueFlawed Economic Paradigm & MMT CritiqueFlawed Fundraising & Resource MismanagementFlawed Fundraising & Resource MismanagementAllegations of Gross Incompetence & FraudAllegations of Gross Incompetence & FraudStructural & Systemic DisadvantagesStructural & Systemic DisadvantagesFlawed Digital & Media StrategyVoter Registration & Turnout DeficitVoter Registration & Turnout DeficitSocietal Headwinds & BigotrySocietal Headwinds & BigotryVoter Suppression & Election Integrity FailuresVoter Suppression & Election Integrity FailuresFailure to Challenge Capitalism's CoreFailure to Challenge Capitalism's CoreLeft-Wing Voter Self-SabotageLeft-Wing Voter Self-SabotageCeding Ground on Armed LegitimacyCeding Ground on Armed LegitimacyFlawed Digital & Media Strategy

Who Drove It

Spread across the spectrum

Left-of-center voices lead. 56% of quotes come from the Far Left and Left, against 11% from the Right and Far Right.

55.6%
33.3%
11.1%
Far LeftLeftCenterRightFar Right

Top channels by reach

  1. The Wall Street Journal Right
    222K views
  2. Washington Week PBS Center
    52K views
  3. Scanlon Foundation Research Institute Center
    902 views
  4. Democrats of Greater Tucson Left
    215 views
  5. American University School of Communication Center
    303 views

Scale

The theme, in numbers

Quotes
9
Channels
5
Videos
5
Total views
276K
Likes
4.1K
Comments
625
Hours of content
0.1h

When the conversation happened

Quotes tagged to this theme, grouped by the date the video was published and colored by the political leaning of the source. Spikes mark the days commentators talked about it most.

Quotes

Quotes, by political leaning

55.6%
33.3%
11.1%

Engagement, by political leaning

Left: 215Center: 52,917Right: 222,395276K
Views
Left: 5Center: 454Right: 3,6014.1K
Likes
Center: 4Right: 621625
Comments

Airtime, by political leaning

0.0h 0.0% Far Left
0.0h 55.7% Left
0.0h 44.3% Center
0.0h 0.0% Right
0.0h 0.0% Far Right

0.1 hrs total · 5 videos

The videos that carried it

The most-watched videos tagged to this theme, ranked by views. Engagement counts come from YouTube.

  1. How Trump Won: A Data Breakdown | WSJ State of the Stat
    The Wall Street Journal
    Views
    222,395
    Likes
    3,601
    Comments
    621
  2. Why Democrats lost the White House and the future of the party
    Washington Week PBS
    Views
    51,712
    Likes
    443
    Comments
    0
  3. Voices of Australia | Truth, Trust, and the Future of Democracy
    Scanlon Foundation Research Institute
    Views
    902
    Likes
    10
    Comments
    2
  4. Analysis: Democrats Lost Because of a Shift in Voter Registration
    Democrats of Greater Tucson
    Views
    215
    Likes
    5
    Comments
    0
  5. Donna Brazile on the 2024 Presidential Election
    American University School of Communication
    Views
    303
    Likes
    1
    Comments
    2

Where the gap lives, all five metrics

Each row is a metric. The two dots show the share from Far Left and Left voices and the share from Right and Far Right voices, and the line between them is the gap. Close dots mean both sides engaged with the theme about equally. A wide gap means one side carried it.

0%25%50%75%100%Quotes: Left coalition 83.3% · Right coalition 16.7% · gap Δ66.7%QuotesΔ66.7%Views: Left coalition 0.1% · Right coalition 99.9% · gap Δ99.8%ViewsΔ99.8%Likes: Left coalition 0.1% · Right coalition 99.9% · gap Δ99.7%LikesΔ99.7%Comments: Left coalition 0% · Right coalition 100% · gap Δ100%CommentsΔ100%Airtime: Left coalition 100% · Right coalition 0% · gap Δ100%AirtimeΔ100%LEFT COALITIONRIGHT COALITION