Pluribus AI 2024 Election Autopsy
52:26

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Biden addresses nation as Democrats wonder what went wrong

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52:26
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Findings · 136

Hypotheses extracted from the transcript, ranked by analyst confidence.

  1. 01
    Critique High confidence

    The Democratic Party is in 'deep trouble' and 'deeply out of touch,' primarily due to their nomination of two highly unpopular candidates (Biden and Harris) and their failure to hold a contested primary, which prevented them from selecting a stronger challenger to Trump.

    • "the problem the Democrats have is they had the two most unpopular Democrats you can imagine Joe Biden and kamla Harris on the table Biden had to drop out cuz he was so unpopular"
    • "the Democrats have a party that is in deep trouble and is deeply out of touch and it began with Joe Biden"
    • "he should have been a transitional president as he promised and stepped down after one term democrats should have had a contested primary to test who's best to take Trump on they blew it cuz Biden blew it"
    • "why didn't they have a contested primary why did it take a June 27th the country could see Biden was struggling"
    • "former president Obama not being happy with him being on the ticket even at that point now we're starting to kind of fill in some of the blanks"
  2. 02
    Critique High confidence

    The Democratic Party has a significant problem with its stance on 'Law and Order' and struggles to balance social support with individual accountability, particularly regarding concepts like 'defund police' and 'abolish the criminal justice system'.

    • "we have a real problem with with Law and Order"
    • "the whole defund police abolish the criminal justice system"
    • "the notion that people are in no way responsible for the crimes they commit the drugs they abuse or their inability to take care of themselves is simply wrong"
    • "but we can't completely take individual responsibility out of that piece people need to be held accountable"
    • "I don't understand why within so much of the democratic party you don't you can't hold two ideas in your head at once number one people are suffering we need to help them number two they need"
  3. 03
    Critique High confidence

    Democrats should prioritize effective governance and addressing tangible local issues (e.g., crime, homelessness, drug abuse, government inefficiency) rather than focusing excessively on opposing Donald Trump.

    • "if you want to stand up to Trump I suggest you don't ever mention him I suggest you govern well"
    • "we have problems with crime homelessness drug abuse and just inefficient and ineffective government in too many places"
    • "if we want to offer an alternative to Trump then offer an alternative govern deal with the challenges we Face let's stop with the you know I'm going to stop Trump I'm going to stay great okay what are you doing for the state of Washington what are you doing for the State of California what are you doing about the challenges that we face in districts like mine"
    • "we have to begin to address the issues that are really upsetting people about Democratic Leadership"
  4. 04
    Defends High confidence

    The Democratic Administration believes the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) is a popular and beneficial piece of legislation that should not be repealed by Republicans.

    • "the inflation reduction act that is a popular piece uh of legislation"
    • "the most comprehensive uh law to be passed to deal with climate change"
    • "Medicare now being able to negotiate and not only that you're obviously to negotiate to lower uh cost"
    • "… that should be a warning for them not to go after something that actually helps the American people that actually delivers on key key priorities uh and that is actually popular"
  5. 05
    Neutral High confidence

    Joe Biden's post-election actions are strategically aimed at securing a positive legacy as a 'semi-effective president' and facilitating a smooth transition, marking the beginning of his 'long goodbye.'

    • "he wants to be seen as a semi- effective president who graciously stepped aside"
    • "his long goodbye is my U assessment"
    • "Joe Biden wants a good Legacy and he knows that a trans a smooth transition is something that will go towards that"
  6. 06
    Critique High confidence

    The primary reason for the Democratic Party's electoral defeat was the performance and policies of the Biden-Harris presidency, not issues with the campaign itself.

    • "everyone is only pointing at the campaign what about the policies what about the presidency"
    • "no it was the presidency that was their doom"
    • "there's no amount of campaigning that can Rectify or correct the policies that led to the destruction of so many Americans faith in the Democrat Party in this Administration in particular"
  7. 07
    Defends High confidence

    The Democratic Administration is proud of its legislative achievements and economic performance, asserting that it has delivered for the American people.

    • "the president is incredibly proud of what he has been able to do uh for the American people"
    • "he wants to continue to implement those historic uh legislations now laws that he was able to get done"
    • "the next Administration is going to inherit a strong economy which is's very proud out"
  8. 08
    Defends High confidence

    The Democratic Administration views the Vice President's campaign as successful in unifying the party.

    • "he believed that the vice president ran a a really a great campaign"
    • "how she was able to unify the party"
    • "the party unified beh behind her and I think that's what is important"
  9. 09
    Neutral High confidence

    The Democratic Administration attributes the recent election outcome partly to a global 'political toll on incumbent parties' and the economic disruptions caused by the pandemic.

    • "the political toll on incumbent parties around the world as a data point right as something that we have seen pretty consistency pretty consistently with G7 allies in this time"
    • "one of the things that occurred was the pandemic it did it caused disruption it caused the supply chain uh to be disrupted and led for and and caused the economy to be turned upside down"
    • "it doesn't stop the fact that there has been a political toll for incumbents"
  10. 10
    Defends High confidence

    The President's immediate focus and commitment post-election is to put the American people first and ensure a peaceful transfer of power, respecting the election results.

    • "this is a president that's going to put the American people first"
    • "the job of the president is to make sure that we have a peaceful transfer of power that is what the American people deserve and that's what we're going to"
    • "I've been standing here saying that we respect the decision that the American people made I've been standing here and saying that the president's going to put the American people first"
  11. 11
    Defends High confidence

    Despite the defeat, Biden praises VP Harris's character and effort, and calls for national unity and resilience, emphasizing that 'setbacks are unavoidable but giving up is unforgivable.'

    • "vice president Harris she has a backbone like a ramrod she has great character true character she gave her whole heart effort"
    • "something to hope we can do no matter who you voted for is see each other not as adversaries but as fellow Americans bring down the temperature"
    • "Setbacks are unavoidable but giving up is unforgivable"
  12. 12
    Critique High confidence

    Democrats prioritize avoiding offense over honest communication, particularly on sensitive social issues, due to the influence of extreme elements within the party who make 'common sense' positions seem unacceptable.

    • "Democrats spend way too much time try not to offend anyone rather than being brutally honest about the challenge many Americans face"
    • "I have two little girls I don't want them getting run over on a playing field by a male or formerly male athlete but as a Democrat I'm supposed to be afraid to say that"
    • "a lot of the blame also needs to go to the people who are the on the extremes who run a lot of the social media and the cable producers who are basically making Common Sense the enemy of the democratic party"
  13. 13
    Defends High confidence

    A moderate, problem-solving, and bipartisan message, tailored to constituents' needs, is a successful strategy for Democrats, even in challenging districts.

    • "and she went out there in won in a trump plus six District"
    • "by delivering a message that was responsive to the needs of her constituents"
    • "the moderate kind of I'm going to work on whether solving problems across the aisle"
  14. 14
    Critique High confidence

    The Democratic Party needs to more effectively oppose and distance itself from 'extreme left' policies, which have inadvertently strengthened Donald Trump and tarnished the party's image.

    • "I think our party needs to do a better job of standing up against some of the extreme left policies that have really propelled Donald Trump forward"
    • "ticked off a laundry list of progressive priorities such as defunding the police or embracing policies that enabled millions of migrants to cross the border illegally that he said had tarnished the party"
    • "vice president KLA Harris didn't fully address in her campaign she didn't want to offend the extreme left while the extreme left is leading us into a ditch"
  15. 15
    Neutral High confidence

    President Biden appeared personally relieved and somewhat vindicated by the election outcome, as he did not lose to Donald Trump, a defeat that instead fell to his Vice President.

    • "I noticed though Harris that more so than I have seen him in the last year he had a spring in his step when he came out of the office and you can kind of think what was going on in his mind that you know I didn't lose to Donald Trump I'm still still one0 with Trump yall threw me out un ceremoniously back there at the beginning of July and yall lost the election so he's going out with a clean record …"
    • "since the mantle of the burden of running has been lifted off of Joe Biden we have seen him I think look relieved"
    • "he will go into history saying that he was the only person who beat former president Trump and I think he's okay with that"
  16. 16
    Critique High confidence

    Public perception of the economy and the country's direction is overwhelmingly negative, serving as a direct referendum on the Biden-Harris presidency and campaign.

    • "70% of the people who voted on Tuesday told our Fox News voter analysis that America's on the wrong track"
    • "that's a referendum on the last four years that's a referendum on his presidency as well as kamla Harris's uh short campaign"
  17. 17
    Critique High confidence

    The current administration has presided over an increase in global 'hot spots' and the formation of a challenging alliance between Russia, China, North Korea, and Iran, which did not exist four years prior.

    • "because there were Fires at now that did not exist four years ago 100% fact"
    • "his biggest challenge is that Russia and China North Korea and Iran are now allies"
  18. 18
    Critique High confidence

    Kamala Harris's electoral performance in traditionally Democratic states like New Jersey was significantly weaker than Joe Biden's, indicating a broader decline in Democratic support and a weakening of party strongholds.

    • "Biden took that state by double digits kamla Harris took it by five points"
    • "New Jersey is not as blue as it was I'll just say it that way"
  19. 19
    Critique High confidence

    Democrats are perceived to have a 'fact problem' (disconnect with reality/misrepresentation) and a 'relationship problem' (internal disunity and poor communication among teams).

    • "the Democrats had a fact problem um they also have a relationship problem"
    • "if their teams behind the scenes are getting along as poorly as axios and some others have been reporting"
  20. 20
    Critique High confidence

    Kamala Harris's campaign faced significant internal criticism from prominent Democratic party officials regarding her ground game, lack of local engagement, and perceived strategic missteps like celebrity-focused events.

    • "Governor Shapiro should have been the pick for kamla Harris and Brady went on to say he never even quote had a conversation with the lady he talked all about you know how poor the ground game was in Pennsylvania"
    • "that last minute concert with Lady Gaga and beyon saying forgive me if I'm getting whatever celebrities that were wrong though singers he said that was an a front to local officials and then he said that there was no quote ground game there was no presence"
  21. 21
    Critique High confidence

    There is significant historical and ongoing internal animosity and resentment within the Democratic Party, particularly between the Biden and Harris factions.

    • "Jill Biden J famously said kamla can go blank herself after she suggested that her husband Joe Biden was a racist who was for segregation and against busing when she was the little girl on that bus in that debate really infuriated Jill Biden many people have confirmed that years ago"
    • "people like Anita D and pester they're still upset that this woman came in there and said is acted like she had never even been part of the administration"
  22. 22
    Critique High confidence

    Kamala Harris is widely perceived as a political 'loser' and a weaker candidate than Joe Biden, contributing significantly to the Democratic Party's electoral defeat.

    • "KLA is going to be looked at as a loser"
    • "Harris turned out to be worse than Biden which is pretty amazing when you look at how Donald Trump fared the numbers he got he won the popular vote"
  23. 23
    Critique High confidence

    There is a significant internal blame game within the Democratic Party and among liberal media, with many attributing the election loss to Joe Biden's 'arrogance' and 'ego,' despite earlier efforts to push him out.

    • "people in his own party and some in the liberal media are trying to blame him for vice president kamla Harris's election loss despite the left's coordinated effort to push Biden out of the race"
    • "we're seeing headlines like these dims rage against Biden's arrogance blame Biden Joe Biden gets blamed by Harris allies and one oped carries the headline Trump is president again and Democrats can blame Biden's ego"
  24. 24
    Critique High confidence

    Joe Biden's emphasis on a smooth transition is seen as hypocritical by some, given the Democratic Party's past resistance and attempts to delegitimize Donald Trump's presidency in 2017.

    • "he has Amnesia he forgot how the Democrats greeted Donald Trump when Trump came in in 2017 with the result resistance with the attempt to overturn the election in the Electoral College"
    • "everything he said is platitudes that is not packed up by the actual real behavior of Democrats last time Trump came in"
  25. 25
    Critique High confidence

    The Democratic Party's campaign utilized a problematic 'good versus evil' narrative and a fear-based approach (e.g., suggesting negative consequences if Donald Trump won).

    • "that was a remaining tendril from The Narrative that we heard this entire time which is that somehow we are fighting for good versus evil in the fabric of America"
    • "there was a little leftover from The Narrative of if you vote for Donald Trump the guy will fall if he gets into office"
  26. 26
    Critique High confidence

    Late-stage campaign efforts by the Democratic Party, including attempts to 'turn positive,' were ineffective because a significant portion of the electorate had already cast early votes, and prior rhetoric had already caused harm, particularly to Kamala Harris.

    • "while all the things were going on a lot of people had already voted with the garbage comments and her trying to suddenly turned positive and all of that it just was kind of too late too little too late"
    • "and the harm really was done more to her than it was to Trump with some of the things that were said down the stretch"
  27. 27
    Defends High confidence

    Following President Biden's decision to step aside, he immediately endorsed Kamala Harris, and the Democratic Party successfully unified behind her.

    • "when he did decide to step aside he immediately endorsed her and the party unified behind her"
    • "he immediately again uh decided to uh without thought without you know second guessing uh endorse the vice president"
  28. 28
    Neutral High confidence

    The Democratic Party should avoid a 'blame game' approach to post-election analysis, focusing instead on identifying and correcting problems.

    • "I don't like the blame game I really don't like I teach my kids if you fail on a test look at the problems you got wrong what made you get them wrong go to the teacher go to a tutor and try to get them right the next time"
    • "I don't feel that they should blame uh Joe Biden"
  29. 29
    Critique High confidence

    A significant factor in Democratic performance was the disconnect between official economic indicators (a robust economy) and the public's negative perception of the economy due to high costs.

    • "majority of the reason is people even though the economy is robust and the best in the world right now the people aren't feeling that and I always say that it's what the voters feel versus what Wall Street uh reports and and what media is reporting"
    • "the economy is not the most robust in the world and we know that because and I get your point about how voters feel look when how they feel our Fox News voter analysis between 60 and 90% of Voters thought the C the cost of housing gas and food was too high that's a fact"
  30. 30
    Neutral High confidence

    A comprehensive analysis of 'what happened' in the election will be conducted by external election experts and pundits in the coming days, weeks, and months.

    • "there's going to be election experts in the next days weeks months who are going to again look in under the hood kick the kick the tires trying to figure out exactly what happened um two nights ago"
    • "so there the pundits they're going to speak to that they're the experts and so we'll have more information as they look at the data and so we'll let we'll we'll leave that to them"
  31. 31
    Critique High confidence

    The Biden Administration engaged in 'fear-mongering' messaging prior to the election, warning that a Trump victory would lead to rights being stripped away and democracy crumbling.

    • "this Administration messaged to millions of Americans that they're going to wake up day after the election if Trump won and have their rights Stripped Away that democracy would crumble"
    • "the White House's fear-mongering hypocrisy got called out watch this Administration messaged to millions of Americans that they're going to wake up the day after the election if Trump won and have their rights Stripped Away that democracy would crumble"
  32. 32
    Neutral High confidence

    The White House representative denies that their words are being 'twisted' and asserts that the Administration's post-election stance is consistently respectful of the democratic process and the will of the people.

    • "well not you're just twisting everything around and that's really unfair"
    • "I do not appreciate having my words Twisted that is I am been very clear very very very clear about what the president wants to do and the vice president"
  33. 33
    Critique High confidence

    Members of 'Team Biden' are attempting to deflect blame for Kamala Harris's loss and are promoting the 'delusion' that Joe Biden himself would have won the election.

    • "team Biden isn't going to let a bunch of dog-faced pony soldiers blame Joe for comm's embarrassing loss"
    • "members of Biden's Clan continue to stoke the delusion that it's pet familius would have won the election and some of his advisers feared that he might publicly voice that deeply misguided view"
  34. 34
    Neutral High confidence

    The Democratic Party is experiencing widespread internal 'finger-pointing' and shock following the election loss, indicating a lack of unified understanding or acceptance of the outcome.

  35. 35
    Critique High confidence

    Democrats wrongly demonized Donald Trump supporters as 'Hitler-like or fascist,' failing to acknowledge that these voters made a rational calculation based on perceived economic benefits.

    • "Republicans and Americans who supported Donald Trump they're aren't they aren't hitler-like or fascist there's nothing wrong with them for for making the calculation that Donald Trump could do a better job for me than KLA Harris"
    • "A guy who many in my party believe is Hitler was elected for the second time"
  36. 36
    Critique High confidence

    Kamala Harris's campaign performance was inadequate, marked by a lack of interviews, insufficient explanation of her positions, and a failure to clearly differentiate herself from Joe Biden, contributing to her perceived lack of credibility.

    • "as KLA Harris looks back at this race she'll have some regrets about uh should I done more interviews should I've done uh uh should I've explained better my position on issu should I've talked about my differences with Joe Biden earlier"
    • "the woman didn't answer any questions it was as though here she is this understudy in the white house for four years who can't even articulate how she's changed what she believes how she's going to help America they just weren't credible"
  37. 37
    Critique High confidence

    Democratic messaging is out of touch and lacks credibility, leading to public distrust and electoral losses.

    • "you know what you people are speaking nonsense to the American people which is why Donald Trump and he's not Hitler and he's not a fascist which is why he won because they don't believe the Democrat party"
    • "I mean they they're not believable"
  38. 38
    Critique High confidence

    The Democratic campaign demonstrated poor financial management, ending in debt despite significant fundraising, and misled supporters about electoral prospects.

    • "she raised over a billion dollars in that four months 107 days on October 16th she had $118 million in the bank and they ended the campaign $20 million in debt"
    • "they asked their supporters for so much money and they sold them a bill of goods on they sell and and that morning they told everyone that they could win all seven states"
  39. 39
    Critique High confidence

    Kamala Harris's campaign was ineffective due to extreme risk aversion, which paralyzed her communication and actions.

    • "kamla was afraid to offend people that's why she ran such a lame campaign"
    • "she was the most risk averse person we've ever seen it paralyzed her when she spoke she was afraid to say something wrong she didn't do anything out of fear"
  40. 40
    Critique High confidence

    The Democratic Party deliberately misrepresented Joe Biden as a 'cogent moderate leader' to the electorate, a strategy that ultimately backfired by only delaying Trump's return to power.

    • "they chose Joe and masqueraded him as a cogent moderate leader he was he was nther uh they tried to bamboozle an electorate in order to beat orange Hitler the bill came due November 5th"
    • "if they hadn't have done that do you know what uh Trump might be leaving in two months instead of coming in at two months that's true you know so all they did was they put off the inevitable"
  41. 41
    Defends High confidence

    A moderate, problem-solving message focused on constituents' needs can lead to electoral success for Democrats, even in challenging 'Trump-plus' districts.

    • "and she went out there in won in a trump plus six District okay by by delivering a message that was responsive to the needs of her constituents"
    • "that's the message that's the message the moderate kind of I'm going to work on whether solving problems across the aisle that's the message do you think like Marie's message that your party should follow a little bit"
  42. 42
    Critique High confidence

    The Democratic Party wrongly dismisses or downplays individual responsibility for actions like committing crimes, abusing drugs, or inability to self-care.

    • "the notion that people are in no way responsible for the crimes they commit the drugs they abuse or their inability to take care of themselves is simply wrong"
    • "but we can't completely take individual responsibility out of that piece people need to be held accountable"
  43. 43
    Critique High confidence

    Democrats should focus on effective governance and addressing real-world problems rather than constantly mentioning or opposing Donald Trump.

    • "if you want to stand up to Trump I suggest you don't ever mention him I suggest you govern well"
    • "If we want to offer an alternative to Trump then offer an alternative govern deal with the challenges we Face let's stop with the you know I'm going to stop Trump I'm going to stay great okay what are you doing for the state of Washington what are you doing for the State of California what are you doing about the challenges that we face in districts like mine"
  44. 44
    Critique High confidence

    The Democratic Party should prioritize issues like the working class, jobs, and effective government, and reduce focus on 'academic issues'.

    • "to be very focused on the working class on jobs on Effective Government on helping people"
    • "andless on some of the more academic issues"
  45. 45
    Critique High confidence

    The Democratic Party wrongly dismisses or downplays individual responsibility for actions like committing crimes, abusing drugs, or inability to care for oneself.

    • "the notion that people are in no way responsible for the crimes they commit the drugs they abuse or their inability to take care of themselves is simply wrong"
    • "but we can't completely take individual responsibility out of that piece people need to be held accountable"
  46. 46
    Critique High confidence

    The Democratic Party has a significant problem with its stance on 'Law and Order,' particularly concerning movements like 'defund police' and the perceived lack of emphasis on individual responsibility for criminal actions.

    • "we have a real problem with with Law and Order you know I mean we you know the whole defund police abolish the criminal justice system"
    • "The notion that people are in no way responsible for the crimes they commit the drugs they abuse or their inability to take care of themselves is simply wrong"
  47. 47
    Critique High confidence

    Progressive policies like "defunding the police" and lax border policies have damaged the Democratic Party's image.

    • "laundry list of progressive priorities such as defunding the police or embracing policies that enabled millions of migrants to cross the border illegally that he said had tarnished the party"
    • "the extreme left is leading us into a ditch"
  48. 48
    Critique High confidence

    Democrats should shift their focus from constantly opposing Donald Trump to demonstrating effective governance and addressing tangible local issues like crime, homelessness, and inefficient government.

    • "… if we want to offer an alternative to Trump then offer an alternative govern deal with the challenges we Face let's stop with the you know I'm going to stop Trump I'm going to stay great okay what are you doing for the state of Washington what are you doing for the State of California what are you doing about the challenges that we face in districts like mine"
    • "we have problems with crime homelessness drug abuse and just inefficient and ineffective government in too many places"
  49. 49
    Critique High confidence

    Democrats are failing to address critical issues like border security and government spending, which are seen as root causes of current national problems.

    • "the Democrats aren't pointing fingers at the border the spending all the stuff that got us into this mess"
  50. 50
    Neutral High confidence

    President Biden's post-election message to the Democratic Party was a call for resilience and serious self-examination following their electoral loss.

    • "he said to the Democratic party look we lost setbacks are inevitable but giving up is unacceptable so it was a real call to the party to do some serious self-examination for the future"
  51. 51
    Critique High confidence

    The Democratic Party faces significant work to recover and rebuild after their electoral defeat.

    • "the Democratic party's got to do a lot of work to do that"
  52. 52
    Critique High confidence

    Democratic policies, despite being intended to help people across the country, failed to resonate with voters in crucial areas (e.g., rural America) because the benefits were not immediately apparent or felt, leading voters to reject the party.

    • "he very much wanted to make this point that we laid down all these policies that will help people all across the country he said in rural parts of the country he was specific about and in you know other you know corners of America here here's the problem those places in America voted for Donald Trump they did not see the fruits of that and at one point he said it could take 10 years for people to see the impact of the legislature and the things we passed Americans said uh-uh we're we're not waiting for that"
  53. 53
    Critique High confidence

    The Democratic Party needs a fundamental 'rethink' of its strategy and approach, as the issues leading to their electoral defeat are 'deep-seated,' and President Biden is aware of this need.

    • "it would have been great for him to talk about a rethink for his party because he knows he sees he he's a politician he's been around forever he knows what went what went wrong on Tuesday night at it's very deep seeded for his party"
  54. 54
    Neutral High confidence

    There was a notable absence of explicit congratulations from both Vice President Harris and President Biden towards the President-elect, and a lack of mutual acknowledgment in their respective post-election remarks, suggesting a potential disconnect.

    • "I noticed that she didn't use the word congratulate neither did he um she didn't say much about him yesterday he didn't say much about her right now just the top of his comments was pretty much absent"
  55. 55
    Critique High confidence

    The Democratic Party should shift its focus more towards the working class, jobs, and effective government, and less on 'academic issues'.

    • "but also got to be very focused on the working class on jobs on Effective Government on helping people andless on some of the more academic issues"
  56. 56
    Critique High confidence

    President Biden acknowledged that the Democratic Party has a problem, specifically that their 'vision' was not chosen by the American people in the recent election.

    • "he acknowledged there's a problem for Democrats saying campaigns are about competing visions and the American people did not choose our version of that Vision they did not do that"
  57. 57
    Critique High confidence

    There is public internal conflict within the Democratic Party, exemplified by the Harris campaign's public rebuttal of criticisms from local party officials.

    • "and then the Harris campaign shot back at their own chair Democratic chairman of Philadelphia saying we knocked on two million doors in Pennsylvania which is quote two million more doors than Bob Brady knocked on my goodness"
  58. 58
    Critique High confidence

    Vice President Kamala Harris's reluctance to challenge the 'extreme left' and the influence of the 'extreme left' are detrimental to the party's success.

    • "she didn't want to offend the extreme left while the extreme left is leading us into a ditch"
  59. 59
    Neutral High confidence

    In 2023, approximately 80% of Americans believed President Biden was too old to serve another term (as stated by the interviewer, citing polls).

    • "around that time in 2023 polls showed that rly 80% of Americans believed at that time that the president was too old to serve another term"
  60. 60
    Neutral High confidence

    The President's team actively encouraged other rising Democratic figures to rally behind Biden and not pursue their own presidential ambitions (as stated by the interviewer, citing reports).

    • "the president's team also uh very firmly encouraged other Rising Stars luminaries in the party people who had participated in the primaries in the 2020 cycle um to Rally behind the president and not to consider their own Ambitions"
  61. 61
    Critique High confidence

    Democrats, including Joe Biden, were overconfident in their ability to repeat the 2020 victory and potentially dismissed declining approval ratings.

    • "Joe Biden did beat Donald Trump in 2020 and I think that he and many in the Democratic party felt that he could do it again and when they were seeing that approval rating uh dropping one you can't just believe all the numbers come on all the predictors were wrong in 2016 and now um polls were not accurate"
  62. 62
    Critique High confidence

    The Democratic Party's current approach is unsustainable and requires significant change to secure future electoral victories.

    • "and they better change their approach or they're not going to win again for a long time"
  63. 63
    Critique High confidence

    The Democratic Party failed to adequately address or campaign on three key issues that voters cared about: the economy, crime, and immigration.

    • "but I do feel that my party missed three key areas when you see the polls and we saw these that people care about that's the economy that's crime that's immigration"
  64. 64
    Critique High confidence

    The Democratic Party faced a deeply entrenched structural disadvantage in the election, making victory difficult for any Democratic candidate.

    • "she thinks Biden couldn't have won kamla couldn't have won a third party you know Gavin new some she didn't use his name but someone outside could not have one the structure was so deeply set against Democrats"
  65. 65
    Critique High confidence

    A significant portion of voters held a positive retrospective view of Donald Trump's presidency, recalling better economic times, which posed a challenge for the Democratic Party.

    • "our Fox News poll the retrospective approval of Donald Trump was about 50% the question about had he delivered and had he been tested was about 50% voters remembered better times"
  66. 66
    Critique High confidence

    President Biden's post-election remarks displayed a commendable, gracious, and non-bitter tone, contrasting with Vice President Harris's more combative language, suggesting a potential disconnect in messaging within the Democratic leadership.

    • "Biden was very gracious there uh Biden was did not seem angry did not seem bitter and I had my money on comma sounding that way yesterday because Biden was the one with the Neanderthal remark and the garbage remark but he wasn't that there kamla she used the word fight often Biden said a much different tone and I just want to commend him because I thought that was very well done and I wish he would have had a chat with his vice president before she went out yesterday"
  67. 67
    Critique High confidence

    The Democratic Party's core campaign narrative, 'the struggle for the soul of America,' is fundamentally flawed and untrue.

    • "the struggle for the soul for America which he brought up early on and said has been in occurrence since the Inception i i i find I take fault with uh and I think it's untrue and I think that was a remaining tendril from The Narrative that we heard this entire time"
  68. 68
    Critique High confidence

    Democratic leadership, exemplified by figures like Nancy Pelosi, lacks credibility due to perceived hypocrisy and contradictory actions.

    • "Nancy Pelosi I mean she got something says Joe Biden belongs on Mount Rushmore but she arranges the coup I mean they they're not believable"
  69. 69
    Critique High confidence

    A prominent Democratic Congressman (Richie Torres) criticizes the 'far-left' for alienating key demographic groups with specific rhetoric and policies.

    • "Donald Trump has no greater friend than the far-left which has managed to alienate historic numbers of Latinos blacks Asians and Jews from the Democratic party with absurdities like defund the police or from the river to the sea or latinx"
  70. 70
    Neutral High confidence

    There is a general political toll for incumbents, which is presented as a factor in election outcomes.

    • "the fact that there has been a political toll for incumbents that is something that I'm telling you as a data point to share"
  71. 71
    Critique High confidence

    Biden's campaign conduct included calling Trump supporters 'trash,' leading to him being 'yanked off the campaign trail' by Kamala Harris.

    • "Joe Biden emerging from his timeout after Kamala yanked him off the campaign Trail for calling Trump supporters trash"
  72. 72
    Critique High confidence

    A political maneuver or strategy by Nancy Pelosi 'cratered,' indicating a significant failure.

    • "Nancy Pelosi's Mutiny cratered harder than one of the stocks she just dumped"
  73. 73
    Critique High confidence

    Vice President Harris suffered a 'crushing defeat' in the election.

    • "Biden reacting to his vep's crushing defeat to Donald Trump"
  74. 74
    Neutral High confidence

    Joe Biden's decision to remain in the race, despite expectations of him being a 'transitional president,' created a 'quandary' for the Democratic Party.

    • "he promised to be a transitional president when he decided to stay the Democrats were in a quandry because they were expecting him to leave"
  75. 75
    Critique High confidence

    Democrats misjudged voter priorities, incorrectly framing the election as a 'referendum on democracy' when voters were primarily concerned with economic issues and practical definitions of 'democracy' (e.g., crime, borders, social issues).

    • "it's always about the economy Democrats wanted to paint this race as being a referendum on democracy and it was most Americans however describe democracy as having neighborhoods that were crime-free having borders that were secure uh having their little girls not be concerned if little boys are going to play in their sports that alone come in their bathrooms"
  76. 76
    Critique High confidence

    The communication style of liberal Democrats, characterized by 'endless whining and crying, endless condescension, and endless judging of people,' was counterproductive and alienated voters.

    • "liberal Democrats had this sense that endless whining and crying endless condescension uh endless judging of people somehow or another would make people come to their side as a party we have to understand that doesn't work"
  77. 77
    Critique High confidence

    The progressive/liberal wing of the Democratic Party has had too dominant a voice, and their influence must diminish for the party to win future elections.

    • "those in our party who are way to left who were who are described as progressives and liberals I think there's a wakeup call for them because they are a part of our party but their voices cannot be the dominant ones any longer if indeed we want to win"
  78. 78
    Critique High confidence

    The Democratic Party's current values and priorities are not aligned with the majority of Americans, necessitating significant change within the party to ensure future electoral success.

    • "my party has to change to ensure that our values and our priorities are aligned with the majority of Americans because clearly as we sit here today they're not"
  79. 79
    Critique High confidence

    Democratic consultants are exploiting the party and its supporters, contributing to the party's failures by fleecing them of money and time.

    • "the blame is not just at the candidates and the message and the policies but also at their Consultants who fleece them and their supporters for not only their money but their time"
  80. 80
    Critique High confidence

    Democrats operate under a flawed belief that policy changes are permanent, hindering their flexibility and willingness to adjust policies like immigration.

    • "Democrats created this fallacy that if you did something it was permanent you know it was like oh if you reduce immigration we have no more immigrants no we're just actually reducing it it's like a ther it's like a temperature you can raise it you can lower it"
  81. 81
    Critique High confidence

    President Biden is perceived as hypocritical, attempting to resolve political divisions and 'turn down the temperature' that he himself contributed to creating.

    • "Joe Biden is like the political version of gain of function you know he's trying to cure the disease that he himself created"
  82. 82
    Critique High confidence

    The Democratic Party has a significant problem with its stance on 'Law and Order', particularly concerning concepts like 'defund police' and 'abolish the criminal justice system'.

    • "we have a real problem with with Law and Order you know I mean we you know the whole defund police abolish the criminal justice system"
  83. 83
    Critique High confidence

    A core issue within the Democratic Party is an inability to simultaneously embrace helping suffering people and holding individuals accountable for their actions.

    • "I I don't understand why within so much of the democratic party you don't you can't hold two ideas in your head at once number one people are suffering we need to help them number two they need"
  84. 84
    Critique High confidence

    The Democratic Party needs to distance itself from 'extreme left policies' because they have propelled Donald Trump forward.

    • "I think our party needs to do a better job of standing up against some of the extreme left policies that have really propelled Donald Trump forward"
  85. 85
    Critique High confidence

    Democratic leadership has failed to effectively address local issues such as crime, homelessness, drug abuse, and government inefficiency in places like Seattle/King County.

    • "we have problems with crime homelessness drug abuse and just inefficient and ineffective government in too many places"
  86. 86
    Critique High confidence

    Specific progressive policies, such as 'defunding the police' and 'embracing policies that enabled millions of migrants to cross the border illegally,' have 'tarnished the party.'

    • "ticked off a laundry list of progressive priorities such as defunding the police or embracing policies that enabled millions of migrants to cross the border illegally that he said had tarnished the party"
  87. 87
    Critique High confidence

    There is a disconnect within the Democratic Party where some local elected officials, despite not supporting certain problematic policies, pretend they don't exist or are not being pursued.

    • "even as these policies go forward when I try to work with local Democratic elected officials many of whom I know don't support these policies um they sort of pretend like they don't exist okay like oh no we're not doing that and then I dig a little deeper and said well yeah we kind of are doing that why don't we change it"
  88. 88
    Critique High confidence

    The Democratic Party's approach to addressing social issues is flawed, characterized by 'academic language,' an 'obsession with identity politics,' and a failure to secure the border and neighborhoods.

    • "you don't address those issues by focusing on academic language having an obsession with identity politics not securing the border and not securing our neighborhoods"
  89. 89
    Critique High confidence

    Democratic-led governments suffer from inefficiency and bureaucratic hurdles, hindering effective problem-solving, such as addressing housing and homelessness.

    • "another big issue for us is just efficient government … where is the efficient Effective Government to get that done … they've got like 11 different commissions and they have to include absolutely everybody before they make a decision"
  90. 90
    Defends High confidence

    Centrist or even conservative messaging is a successful strategy for Democrats in vulnerable districts, even if it draws criticism from the state party.

    • "… she was criticized by the Washington state democratic party for some of her votes and some of the positions she's taken they they threatened her with a primary all right and she went out there in won in a trump plus six District okay by by delivering a message that was responsive to the"
  91. 91
    Defends High confidence

    A successful Democratic strategy involves delivering messages responsive to constituents' needs, even in challenging districts (e.g., a 'Trump plus six District').

    • "and she went out there in won in a trump plus six District okay by by delivering a message that was responsive to the needs of her constituents"
  92. 92
    Defends High confidence

    The Democratic Party should adopt a more moderate, problem-solving, and bipartisan message, similar to the successful candidate mentioned.

    • "that's the message the moderate kind of I'm going to work on whether solving problems across the aisle that's the message do you think like Marie's message that your party should follow a little bit"
  93. 93
    Critique High confidence

    The Democratic Party needs to shift its focus more towards the working class, jobs, effective government, and helping people, and less on 'academic issues'.

    • "but also got to be very focused on the working class on jobs on Effective Government on helping people andless on some of the more academic issues"
  94. 94
    Critique High confidence

    The Democratic Party has a significant problem with its stance on 'Law and Order', particularly due to rhetoric like 'defund police' and 'abolish the criminal justice system'.

    • "we have a real problem with with Law and Order you know I mean we you know the whole defund police abolish the criminal justice system"
  95. 95
    Critique High confidence

    A significant portion of the Democratic Party struggles to simultaneously embrace the ideas of helping suffering people and holding individuals accountable.

    • "I I don't understand why within so much of the democratic party you don't you can't hold two ideas in your head at once number one people are suffering we need to help them number two they need"
  96. 96
    Neutral High confidence

    California Democrats, under Governor Newsom, are actively working to "Trump proof" state laws and build broad, inclusive coalitions to protect freedoms.

    • "he says lawmakers are ready to Trump proof California's state laws we have been intentional about building community and building coalitions bringing people together from every Walk of Life and background"
  97. 97
    Critique High confidence

    The Democratic Party's embrace of "extreme left policies" has significantly contributed to the rise and success of Donald Trump.

    • "I will say bluntly I think our party needs to do a better job of standing up against some of the extreme left policies that have really propelled Donald Trump forward"
  98. 98
    Critique High confidence

    Specific progressive policies, such as "defunding the police" and "embracing policies that enabled millions of migrants to cross the border illegally," have damaged the Democratic Party's reputation.

    • "ticked off a laundry list of progressive priorities such as defunding the police or embracing policies that enabled millions of migrants to cross the border illegally that he said had tarnished the party"
  99. 99
    Critique High confidence

    Democratic leaders, including Vice President Kamala Harris, are hesitant to challenge the "extreme left" within the party, which is detrimental to the party's overall success.

    • "vice president KLA Harris didn't fully address in her campaign she didn't want to offend the extreme left while the extreme left is leading us into a ditch"
  100. 100
    Critique High confidence

    Many local Democratic elected officials are unwilling to acknowledge or change problematic "extreme left" policies, even when they privately disagree, leading to a lack of accountability and effective governance.

    • "even as these policies go forward when I try to work with local Democratic elected officials many of whom I know don't support these policies um they sort of pretend like they don't exist okay like oh no we're not doing that and then I dig a little deeper and said well yeah we kind of are doing that why don't we change it"
  101. 101
    Critique High confidence

    Democrats are failing to effectively address societal problems by over-relying on "academic language" and "identity politics," while neglecting core issues like border security, neighborhood safety, and government efficiency.

    • "you don't address those issues by focusing on academic language having an obsession with identity politics not securing the border and not securing our neighborhoods and another big issue for us is just efficient government"
  102. 102
    Critique High confidence

    Democrats must offer a "reasonable alternative" to Trump by directly addressing the issues that concern the public, as their current strategy (e.g., relying on Trump's past actions like January 6th as disqualifying) is not resonating with voters.

    • "we have to offer a reasonable alternative personally I think January 6 was disqualifying um the American people apparently don't agree so we have to begin to address the issues that are really upsetting people about Democratic Leadership"
  103. 103
    Neutral High confidence

    Democrats are not confident about retaining control of the House of Representatives.

    • "no I mean I I do not feel confident about the house"
  104. 104
    Defends High confidence

    A centrist or even conservative messaging strategy has proven successful for vulnerable Democrats in House races, even when it puts them at odds with their state party's more progressive positions.

    • "look at four of the more vulnerable House Seats in the country Marie's race Jared Golden's race Don Davis in North Carolina and Gabe Vasquez in New Mexico they all ran on a very Centrist in some cases conservative message in Marie's case and in Washington state she was criticized by the Washington state democratic party for some of her votes and some of the positions she's taken they they threatened her with a primary all right and she went out there in won in a trump plus six District okay by by delivering a message that was responsive to the"
  105. 105
    Critique High confidence

    Local Democratic elected officials are often disingenuous about their support for problematic policies, pretending they don't exist or aren't being implemented.

    • "even as these policies go forward when I try to work with local Democratic elected officials many of whom I know don't support these policies um they sort of pretend like they don't exist okay like oh no we're not doing that and then I dig a little deeper and said well yeah we kind of are doing that why don't we change it"
  106. 106
    Critique High confidence

    The Democratic Party's approach to addressing social issues is flawed, focusing too much on 'academic language' and 'identity politics' instead of practical solutions like securing borders and neighborhoods.

    • "you don't address those issues by focusing on academic language having an obsession with identity politics not securing the border and not securing our neighborhoods"
  107. 107
    Critique High confidence

    Democratic governance is often inefficient and ineffective, hindering solutions to major problems like housing/homelessness due to excessive bureaucracy and consensus-seeking.

    • "another big issue for us is just efficient government I mean we got a major housing problem in King County I agree that part of the problem that we have homelessness is because we haven't built enough housing but where is the efficient Effective Government to get that done you know you've heard the story of the $1.7 million toilet in San Francisco I'm sure yeah you know they were going to build a toilet because they've got like 11 different commissions and they have to include absolutely everybody before they make a decision"
  108. 108
    Neutral High confidence

    The speaker lacks confidence in the Democratic Party's ability to secure control of the House of Representatives.

    • "no I mean I I do not feel confident about the house"
  109. 109
    Defends High confidence

    A centrist or even conservative messaging strategy is effective for Democrats in vulnerable districts, enabling wins even in Trump-leaning areas, despite potential criticism from within the state party.

    • "they all ran on a very Centrist in some cases conservative message in Marie's case and in Washington state she was criticized by the Washington state democratic party for some of her votes and some of the positions she's taken they they threatened her with a primary all right and she went out there in won in a trump plus six District okay by by delivering a message that was responsive to the"
  110. 110
    Neutral High confidence

    Congressman Adam Smith lacks confidence in the Democratic Party's ability to control the House of Representatives.

  111. 111
    Critique High confidence

    The Democratic Party's embrace of 'extreme left policies' has inadvertently helped Donald Trump gain political traction.

    • "I will say bluntly I think our party needs to do a better job of standing up against some of the extreme left policies that have really propelled Donald Trump forward."
  112. 112
    Mixed High confidence

    Democrats should prioritize effective governance and addressing tangible local issues like crime, homelessness, drug abuse, and government inefficiency, rather than solely campaigning against Donald Trump.

    • "if you want to stand up to Trump I suggest you don't ever mention him I suggest you govern well … If we want to offer an alternative to Trump then offer an alternative govern deal with the challenges we Face let's stop with the you know I'm going to stop Trump … what are you doing about the challenges that we face in districts like mine"
  113. 113
    Critique High confidence

    Progressive priorities such as 'defunding the police' and policies perceived as enabling illegal immigration have tarnished the Democratic Party's image and electoral prospects.

    • "representative Adam Smith top Democrat on the house armed services committee ticked off a laundry list of progressive priorities such as defunding the police or embracing policies that enabled millions of migrants to cross the border illegally that he said had tarnished the party and vice president KLA Harris didn't fully address in her campaign she didn't want to offend the extreme left while the extreme left is leading us into a ditch."
  114. 114
    Defends High confidence

    A successful Democratic electoral strategy involves delivering messages that are directly responsive to the needs of constituents, as demonstrated by a candidate winning in a 'Trump plus six District'.

    • "she went out there in won in a trump plus six District okay by by delivering a message that was responsive to the needs of her constituents"
  115. 115
    Defends High confidence

    The Democratic Party should adopt a more moderate message focused on solving problems across the aisle.

    • "that's the message the moderate kind of I'm going to work on whether solving problems across the aisle that's the message do you think like Marie's message that your party should follow"
  116. 116
    Critique High confidence

    The Democratic Party needs to shift its focus more towards working-class issues, jobs, and effective government, and less on 'academic issues'.

    • "also got to be very focused on the working class on jobs on Effective Government on helping people andless on some of the more academic issues"
  117. 117
    Critique High confidence

    The Democratic Party struggles to simultaneously acknowledge root causes of societal problems and hold individuals accountable for their actions, leading to an imbalanced approach.

    • "we can't completely take individual responsibility out of that piece people need to be held accountable I I don't understand why within so much of the democratic party you don't you can't hold two ideas in your head at once number one people are suffering we need to help them number two they need"
  118. 118
    Critique High confidence

    The Democratic Party's focus on "academic language" and "identity politics" and its perceived failure to secure the border and neighborhoods are ineffective approaches to addressing societal problems.

    • "you don't address those issues by focusing on academic language having an obsession with identity politics not securing the border and not securing our neighborhoods"
  119. 119
    Critique High confidence

    The Democratic Party's embrace of "extreme left policies" has contributed to Donald Trump's political success.

    • "I think our party needs to do a better job of standing up against some of the extreme left policies that have really propelled Donald Trump forward"
  120. 120
    Mixed High confidence

    The Democratic Party must offer a "reasonable alternative" to Donald Trump by addressing the issues that concern voters, as the public does not view January 6th as a disqualifying event for Trump.

    • "… we have to begin to address the issues that are really upsetting people about Democratic Leadership"
  121. 121
    Neutral High confidence

    A prominent Democrat (Congressman Adam Smith) lacks confidence in the Democratic Party's ability to control the House of Representatives after the election.

    • "no I mean I I do not feel confident about the house"
  122. 122
    Defends High confidence

    Democratic candidates who adopt centrist or even conservative messages, even if criticized by their own party, can win in challenging districts.

    • "They all ran on a very Centrist in some cases conservative message in Marie's case and in Washington state she was criticized by the Washington state democratic party for some of her votes and some of the positions she's taken they they threatened her with a primary all right and she went out there in won in a trump plus six District"
  123. 123
    Defends High confidence

    Centrist or conservative messaging and policy positions have proven successful for Democratic candidates in vulnerable districts, even when such candidates face criticism from within their own party.

    • "… she was criticized by the Washington state democratic party for some of her votes and some of the positions she's taken they they threatened her with a primary all right and she went out there in won in a trump plus six District okay by by delivering a message that was responsive to the"
  124. 124
    Critique High confidence

    Democratic-led governments, particularly at the local level, suffer from inefficiency and ineffective project management, hindering their ability to solve problems like housing shortages.

    • "… you've heard the story of the $1.7 million toilet in San Francisco I'm sure yeah you know they were going to build a toilet because they've got like 11 different commissions and they have to include absolutely everybody before they make a decision"
  125. 125
    Mixed High confidence

    Democrats should focus on effective governance and addressing local issues (crime, homelessness, drug abuse, inefficient government) rather than solely campaigning against Donald Trump.

    • "If you want to stand up to Trump I suggest you don't ever mention him I suggest you govern well … If we want to offer an alternative to Trump then offer an alternative govern deal with the challenges we Face"
  126. 126
    Critique High confidence

    The Democratic Party's actions, specifically suppressing a primary and elevating Kamala Harris without sufficient electoral support, contradict their claims of 'saving democracy' and demonstrate internal hypocrisy.

    • "it's shame on the Democrat Party I mean how blind are they they are the ones who claimed that they were saving democracy and the truth is they destroyed democracy by not even allowing a primary in their own party by saying we're going to allow this woman who never got one vote to be a vice presidential candidate …"
  127. 127
    Critique High confidence

    Democrats are failing to offer a 'reasonable alternative' to Trump and need to address the issues that are genuinely 'upsetting people about Democratic Leadership.'

    • "… we have to begin to address the issues that are really upsetting people about Democratic Leadership"
  128. 128
    Critique High confidence

    Democratic-led governments are characterized by inefficiency and ineffectiveness, leading to significant problems like housing crises and wasteful spending due to excessive bureaucracy.

    • "… where is the efficient Effective Government to get that done you know you've heard the story of the $1.7 million toilet in San Francisco I'm sure yeah you know they were going to build a toilet because they've got like 11 different commissions and they have to include absolutely everybody before they make a decision"
  129. 129
    Critique High confidence

    The Democratic Party's focus on 'academic language' and 'identity politics,' coupled with a failure to secure borders and neighborhoods and address government inefficiency, alienates voters and prevents the party from offering a compelling alternative to Trump.

    • "you don't address those issues by focusing on academic language having an obsession with identity politics not securing the border and not securing our neighborhoods and another big issue for us is just efficient government …"
  130. 130
    Critique Medium confidence

    Kamala Harris struggled to establish a distinct political identity separate from Joe Biden, while Biden easily distanced himself from her, indicating a strategic challenge for Harris's future.

    • "kamla Harris had a difficult time separating herself from Joe Biden today"
    • "Joe Biden had a very easy time separating himself from KLA Harris and that I think is a message going forward"
  131. 131
    Critique Medium confidence

    The Biden administration's focus during the transition appears to be on cementing President Biden's worldview and legacy, rather than a broader party strategy, potentially due to a perceived lack of strong policy moments from the Vice President's campaign.

    • "the staff and team now are tasking this transition period to try to enforce Biden World Views I mean you I guess this is like a huge Legacy play but she couldn't point to any of the strong you know moments of policy kamla Harris when she was running now he wants to make sure that what did well in his opinion goes for"
  132. 132
    Critique Medium confidence

    The observed decline in Democratic electoral performance is attributed to voters disagreeing with the messaging from Biden and Harris, leading some traditional Democratic voters to support the opposition or disengage.

    • "it's because either some of them voted for Trump and they did and a lot of people just didn't agree with stuff that came out of his mouth that came out of KLA Harris's mouth meaning Biden and they went a different way"
  133. 133
    Critique Medium confidence

    There was internal dissatisfaction or a lack of strong support for Kamala Harris within the Democratic Party, particularly concerning the process by which she gained prominence or was considered.

    • "I didn't hear you Rah for kamla Harris over Joe Biden and I know you didn't like that process because you talked about it um I wasn't a fan of the process"
  134. 134
    Critique Medium confidence

    Policies or a focus on issues like 'box checkings' and 'gender identity' contributed to the decline in American faith in the Democratic Party and the administration, impacting electoral numbers.

    • "when you talk about you know box checkings and and gender identity and the like all of that is reflected in those numbers and those data points"
  135. 135
    Critique Medium confidence

    There is perceived internal acrimony or division within the Democratic Party, particularly between the Biden and Kamala Harris camps.

    • "is it is there acrimony I mean I really want to know because it looks like that's behind the scenes with what we're hearing with the two camps the Biden camp and the KLA Harris Camp is is it that way"
  136. 136
    Critique Medium confidence

    Some local Democratic elected officials are disingenuous about their support or implementation of certain progressive policies, despite privately disagreeing with them.

    • "when I try to work with local Democratic elected officials many of whom I know don't support these policies um they sort of pretend like they don't exist okay like oh no we're not doing that and then I dig a little deeper and said well yeah we kind of are doing that why don't we change it"