Pluribus AI 2024 Election Autopsy

The Map and the Calendar

A small group of mostly academic voices argues that the Electoral College, long campaigns and the electoral map limited what any Democratic campaign could do.


14 quotes
5 voices
5 videos
0.1 hrs airtime
3.0K views

The Verdict

This is one of the smallest themes in the study: 14 quotes from five voices, in videos with about 2,700 views combined. It is also one of the few led by Center voices. Illinois Extension, the Law & Democracy podcast and Duke University’s Department of Political Science account for 10 quotes, and six of those are neutral, describing the system without blaming the party. The NJ Libertarian Party contributes three quotes from the Far Right, and Real Progressives one from the Far Left.

Law & Democracy focuses on the Electoral College. Its hosts note that the 2024 shift toward Republicans happened almost everywhere, so Harris “just couldn’t eke out an Electoral College victory” and lost the popular vote too. They suggest voters in non-swing states may be turning out less, which makes the popular vote harder to read. They also raise the possibility that population shifts could give Democrats an Electoral College advantage within a decade.

Illinois Extension looks at state politics. One speaker argues that Illinois Democrats have taken all the advantage they can from redistricting the state legislature. Another says campaigns lasting a year or more exhaust voters and keep candidates fundraising instead of making policy. A third warns that a dominant party “owns” every problem the state hasn’t solved.

Duke’s contribution is about geography. Democratic voters are concentrated in fewer places, which hurts the party in the Senate and the Electoral College and pushes it to compete for rural and moderate voters.

Fixes from both ends

The study sorts the quotes into three sub-themes: electoral and geographic disadvantages, broader systemic and party flaws, and neglected checks on power. The two voices outside the Center propose very different fixes. The NJ Libertarian Party wants Congress to take power back from the White House and urges libertarians to back Democrats in primaries who will do it. Real Progressives floats replacing elected legislators with citizens chosen by lottery.

Neither proposal comes up elsewhere in the study. The Center voices mostly describe these limits as conditions any campaign has to work within.

In the Senate, the Democrats actually lost a seat. What that tells me is that you have wrung just about all of the partisan advantage out of drawing maps that you can. In Illinois you can't draw maps that are going to magically produce more than the 78 seats you got in the House, 40 seats in the Senate. That's about it.
Illinois Extension Community Economic DevelopmentCenter

What commentators point to

Center voices from legal and academic channels say the Electoral College and the Senate favor Republicans because Democratic voters cluster in cities.
Law & Democracy adds that Democrats have assumed abolishing the Electoral College would help them, when recent results suggest it might not.
An Illinois extension program describes weakened party structures and campaigns that run too long. A libertarian channel says Democrats should run on limiting presidential power.

Sub-Themes

3 sub-themes inside The Map and the Calendar

01

Electoral & Geographic Disadvantages

Center voices, mostly from academic and legal channels, argue that the Electoral College and the Senate favor Republicans because Democratic voters cluster in cities. Some add that Democrats have assumed abolishing the Electoral College would help them, when recent results suggest it might not.

low3 sources·6 quotes
02

Broader Systemic & Party Flaws

A small set of commentators, mostly from an Illinois extension program, describe weakened party structures, campaigns that run too long and the risk that comes with holding every lever of power in a state. One far-left channel argues Democrats legitimize an electoral system that favors the wealthy.

low2 sources·5 quotes
03

Neglecting Systemic Power Checks

These quotes come from a single libertarian channel. It argues that the Obama and Biden administrations expanded executive power or left it in place, and that Democrats should run on limiting presidential power now that Trump holds it.

low1 sources·3 quotes

Who Drove It

Spread across the spectrum

Right-of-center voices lead. 21% of quotes come from the Right and Far Right, against 7% from the Far Left and Left.

7.1%
71.4%
21.4%
Far LeftLeftCenterRightFar Right

Top channels by reach

  1. Real Progressives Far Left
    1.8K views
  2. NJ Libertarian Party Far Right
    470 views
  3. Illinois Extension Community Economic Development Center
    326 views
  4. Duke University Department of Political Science Center
    336 views
  5. Law & Democracy Center
    63 views

Scale

The theme, in numbers

Quotes
14
Channels
5
Videos
5
Total views
3.0K
Likes
140
Comments
43
Hours of content
0.1h

When the conversation happened

Quotes tagged to this theme, grouped by the date the video was published and colored by the political leaning of the source. Spikes mark the days commentators talked about it most.

Quotes

Quotes, by political leaning

7.1%
71.4%
21.4%

Engagement, by political leaning

Far Left: 1,837Center: 725Far Right: 4703.0K
Views
Far Left: 120Center: 11Far Right: 9140
Likes
Far Left: 28Center: 1Far Right: 1443
Comments

Airtime, by political leaning

0.0h 5.8% Far Left
0.0h 0.0% Left
0.1h 77.7% Center
0.0h 0.0% Right
0.0h 16.5% Far Right

0.1 hrs total · 5 videos

The videos that carried it

The most-watched videos tagged to this theme, ranked by views. Engagement counts come from YouTube.

  1. The Physics of Capitalism
    Real Progressives
    Views
    1,837
    Likes
    120
    Comments
    28
  2. In the Pines: A debate on access, preservation, and sustainability
    NJ Libertarian Party
    Views
    470
    Likes
    9
    Comments
    14
  3. US Election Analysis State and Local Considerations 12 05 2024
    Illinois Extension Community Economic Development
    Views
    326
    Likes
    1
    Comments
    0
  4. By All Means Available - A Conversation with Michael G. Vickers
    Duke University Department of Political Science
    Views
    336
    Likes
    8
    Comments
    1
  5. Episode 12 – Election 2024 Insights: Turnout Trends and Electoral College Challenges
    Law & Democracy
    Original video removed from YouTube
    Views
    63
    Likes
    2
    Comments
    0

Where the gap lives, all five metrics

Each row is a metric. The two dots show the share from Far Left and Left voices and the share from Right and Far Right voices, and the line between them is the gap. Close dots mean both sides engaged with the theme about equally. A wide gap means one side carried it.

0%25%50%75%100%Quotes: Left coalition 25% · Right coalition 75% · gap Δ50.0%QuotesΔ50.0%Views: Left coalition 79.6% · Right coalition 20.4% · gap Δ59.3%ViewsΔ59.3%Likes: Left coalition 93.0% · Right coalition 7.0% · gap Δ86.0%LikesΔ86.0%Comments: Left coalition 66.7% · Right coalition 33.3% · gap Δ33.3%CommentsΔ33.3%Airtime: Left coalition 25.9% · Right coalition 74.1% · gap Δ48.2%AirtimeΔ48.2%LEFT COALITIONRIGHT COALITION